区域性热带气旋暴雨短期预报系统在MICAPS系统上的移植

利用MICAPS系统上的实时报文资料,以物理量场诊断为动力相似的主要依据,综合热带气旋移动路径及登陆范围来订正,以人机结合方式完成梧州及贺州地区的热带气旋暴雨24h落区预报工具在MICAPS系统上的移植,直观形象地显示预报结果。该工具利用1979～1980年7～9月、1995年7～9月3a的热带气旋实例进行试报,1997～1998年7～9月试运行,均取得较好的预报效果,目前已可以在后汛期台风季节中投入准业务试用。     

内蒙古东部半干旱草原残丘景观区铜多金属元素表生地球化学异常特征及其评价指标体系的构建

分析了研究区内钙积层、风成沙等制约因素对铜多金属元素表生地球化学异常发育的影响,总结了该类特殊景观条件下铜多金属元素表生地球化学异常特征及其在垂向和侧向上的迁移规律。在此基础上,构建了该类景观区铜多金属元素的表生地球化学异常评价指标体系     

A new approach to GPS ambiguity decorrelation

Ambiguity decorrelation is a useful technique for rapid integer ambiguity fixing. It plays an important role in the least-squares ambiguity decorrelation adjustment (Lambda) method. An approach to multi-dimension ambiguity decorrelation is proposed by the introduction of a new concept: united ambiguity decorrelation. It is found that united ambiguity decorrelation can provide a rapid and effective route to ambiguity decorrelation. An approach to united ambiguity decorrelation, the HL process, is described in detail. The HL process performs very well in high-dimension ambiguity decorrelation tests. Received: 9 March 1998 / Accepted: 1 June 1999     

皖西贵池、宿松地区中下三叠统沉积环境及层序分析

摘要：皖西中、下三叠统为一套碳酸盐岩沉积。从下往上,其沉积环境经历了从盆地－开阔陆棚－开阔台地－局限台地－潮上蒸发台地这样一个海水逐渐变浅、盐度不断增高的环境演化序列．据露头剖面分析,这套碳酸盐岩地层可分成３个层序。层序均由低水位、海进和高水位体系域组成,特征明显。据其岩性特征及准层序的叠置方式,识别出了追赶碳酸盐体系（ｃａｔｃｈｕｐｃａｒｂｏｎａｔｅｓｙｓｔｅｍ）和并进碳酸盐体系（ｋｅｅｐｕｐｃａｒｂｏｎａｔｅｓｙｓｔｅｍ）。     

24万年来西昆仑山甜水海湖岩芯碳酸盐含量变化与气候环境演化

青藏高原现代气候与环境存在着明显的区域差异。高原西北部的西昆仑山甜水 海地区是高原上气候最干旱的区域。作者于１９９５年６月在该区海拔４８４０ｍ的湖盆首次打钻取芯（ＴＳ９５孔）,获得５７ｍ湖泊岩芯,经对样品的实验室测年和多项环境指标分析,表明,ＴＳ９５孔岩芯覆盖了距今２４０－１７ｋａ间的时间尺度。期间,经历了倒数第二次冰期,末次间冰期,末次冰期早期,末次冰期间冰阶和末次冰盛期几个气候变化阶段。岩芯中     

Effect of spatially variable saturated hydraulic conductivity with non-stationary characteristics on the stability of reservoir landslides

Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment - Conventional landslide analyses, based on deterministic methods or simple random variable methods, cannot consider the spatial variability...     

Mathematica软件在计算有限单元法系数矩阵中的应用

以一维分层连续介质大地电磁有限元模拟为例,应用Mathematica软件计算系数矩阵。节约了大量的推导时间。确保快速、准确地得到有限元系数矩阵。展示了mathematica软件在计算有限单元系数矩阵中的强大功能。     

EPIC 202843107:a close eclipsing binary containing a δ Scuti variable

This paper reports on the discovery that an eclipsing binary system, EPIC 202843107, has aδ Scuti variable component. The phased light curve from the Kepler space telescope presents a detached configuration. The binary modeling indicates that the two component stars have almost the same radius and may have experienced orbital circularization. Frequency analyses are performed for the residual light curve after subtracting the binary variations. The frequency spectrum reveals that one component star is a δ Scuti variable. A large frequency separation is cross-identified with the corresponding histogram, the Fourier transform and the echelle diagram method. The mean density of the δ Scuti component is estimated to be 0.09 g cm~(-3) based on the large separation and density relation. Systems like EPIC 202843107 are helpful to study the stellar evolution and physical state of binary stars.     

残余和现今应力场重迭法预测强震危险时区

以红河断裂带测区为例，用Ｘ射线法测量了测区的古构造残余应力场及其应变能密度场，用有限单元法计算了测区在两种边界条件下的水平最大剪应力场，用实验和理论证明了古构造残余主压应力大小和方向对岩石破坏、破裂扩展和震级的影响。用上述方法预测，松平—南涧、玉溪—开远、普洱为测区内强震危险区段。结合地球自转角速度相对变率的天文观测曲线在时间轴上的外延，预测得１９８９－１９９６、１９９９－２００４、２００７－２０１３、２０１６－２０１８年为测区内强震危险时段。     

Climate change implications for irrigation and groundwater in the Republican River Basin,USA

This study investigates the influence of climate change on groundwater availability, and thereby, irrigation across political boundaries within the US High Plains aquifer. A regression model is developed to predict changes in irrigation according to predicted changes in precipitation and temperature from a downscaled dataset of 32 general circulation models (GCMs). Precipitation recharge changes are calculated with precipitation-recharge curves developed for prognostic representations of precipitation across the Nebraska-Colorado-Kansas area and within the Republican River Basin focal landscape. Irrigation-recharge changes are scaled with changes in irrigation. The groundwater responses to climate forcings are then simulated under new pumping and recharge rates using a MODFLOW groundwater flow model. Results show that groundwater pumping and recharge both will increase and that the effects of groundwater pumping will overshadow those from natural fluctuations. Groundwater levels will decline more in areas with irrigation-driven decreasing trends in the baseline. The methodologies and predictions of this study can inform long-term water planning and the design of management strategies that help avoid and resolve water-related conflicts, enabling irrigation sustainability.